Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.213561 0.245341 0.281123 0.324568 0.376119 0.435615 0.509881
2025-11-09 0.162796 0.203834 0.255013 0.324280 0.416735 0.537542 0.710089
2025-11-16 0.133025 0.176857 0.235615 0.321672 0.447116 0.627516 0.914533
2025-11-23 0.112498 0.156597 0.219113 0.316570 0.469113 0.706615 1.120923
2025-11-30 0.100964 0.146269 0.213722 0.324900 0.510561 0.821771 1.414520
2025-12-07 0.088941 0.133072 0.201449 0.319454 0.527527 0.899036 1.663280
2025-12-14 0.080741 0.124430 0.194663 0.321204 0.556152 1.002043 1.991838
2025-12-21 0.073629 0.116486 0.187687 0.321062 0.580693 1.102239 2.346911
2025-12-28 0.068961 0.111930 0.185654 0.329188 0.622198 1.245951 2.851306
2026-01-04 0.064437 0.107024 0.182259 0.333998 0.657713 1.385510 3.399742
2026-01-11 0.060500 0.102666 0.179225 0.338885 0.694179 1.536534 4.042096
2026-01-18 0.057605 0.099843 0.178639 0.348548 0.743141 1.731069 4.900349
2026-01-25 0.054070 0.095538 0.174838 0.351188 0.777386 1.900970 5.778868
2026-02-01 0.050603 0.091017 0.170101 0.351129 0.805460 2.064080 6.730904
2026-02-08 0.047242 0.086360 0.164534 0.348308 0.826013 2.212714 7.721544
2026-02-15 0.043988 0.081596 0.158199 0.342713 0.838114 2.340281 8.712299
2026-02-22 0.042303 0.079832 0.158014 0.351860 0.892956 2.623177 10.586198
2026-03-01 0.039568 0.075647 0.152098 0.345880 0.903237 2.760802 11.883291
2026-03-08 0.037672 0.073049 0.149429 0.347802 0.937697 2.997624 13.897530
2026-03-15 0.035790 0.070313 0.146151 0.347645 0.965919 3.223143 16.066447
2026-03-22 0.034651 0.069088 0.146233 0.356570 1.025679 3.598376 19.558715
2026-03-29 0.033360 0.067409 0.145057 0.361854 1.074936 3.953351 23.358172
2026-04-05 0.032160 0.065832 0.143961 0.367223 1.126175 4.342421 27.950593